There is understandable concern about the rise in infections that has been seen in the UK.
But it needs context – at the peak of the pandemic in spring around 100,000 new cases a day were being seen.
Some of the rise seen in recent weeks is down to more testing, but that won’t be the only factor.
It was always going to be the case that as people mix more (to go to work and school, not just socialising) and summer ends (respiratory viruses tend to do better in the colder months) cases would go up.
The crucial questions are: by how much? And to what extent will they spill over into older, more vulnerable age groups?
If it can be contained within younger age groups, who are at such low risk of complications, it would, in theory, not be much of a problem.
But achieving that is going to be difficult.
The social distancing that is now becoming a routine part of our everyday lives and the test and trace teams in place will help.
But sadly hospitalisations and deaths will soon start going up – they do every winter because of flu even though we have a vaccine and some immunity.
Keeping that rise as low as possible – while allowing society to function with children going to school and people being able to work – is the tightrope we will all now need to walk.