Public polling and election forecasts indicate that a Trump victory is possible, though it is unlikely to be by the margins that Trump and other allies say they’re envisioning — and potentially with less than the 306 electoral college votes he earned in the 2016 election.
The president has repeatedly bemoaned the possibility that a victor will not be known by daybreak on Wednesday, given the crush of mail-in ballots that states are sorting through this election cycle.
Trump has cast doubt on the legitimacy of a protracted process, demanding an election night decision and insisting that anything else raises the risk of fraud and could spark violent unrest throughout the country. But even in a typical election, results are not certified for days or weeks after Election Day. Election night calls are informal calls, typically from media organizations, based on projections.
The president took a calmer tack Tuesday, saying “there’s no reason to play games” and that he would declare himself the winner “only when there’s victory.”
A clear result in Trump’s favor would obviate some of the concerns raised by Democrats, though it would require preelection polls to have been off by an even larger margin than in 2016.
Kayleigh McEnany, the White House press secretary who has also taken on an advisory role with the Trump campaign in its final days, argued Tuesday that was the case.
“I am predicting now we win Nevada, we win Minnesota. I do believe the president has a landslide and this talk of litigation is nothing,” McEnany said on Fox News.